Posted on 10/15/2014 2:31:45 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
With scientists projecting that the West African Ebola epidemic will mushroom, many people are asking how experts can be so sure it will hit a peak and come back down, considering theres no vaccine or reliable treatment yet. Right now, the trend is steep and upwards. Of the more than 8,000 cases so far, most infections occurred in the last 3 to 4 weeks, said David Peters, Chair of the Department of International Health at Johns Hopkins University, where he and other experts gathered for a meeting Tuesday. The World Health Organization has projected a possible 10,000 new Ebola cases per week in West Africa by the end of this year.
How do they know when this frightening upward curve will level off, or if it will level off at all, as opposed to spreading around the globe and ravaging the human race like the pandemic in the movie Outbreak? The most dire forecast comes from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, which predicted 1.4 million cases by early 2015. But even their graph levels off and then falls as the number of new cases eventually go to zero.
[SNIP]
Even without a vaccine, he said, the current outbreak will eventually run out of fuel as infected people either die or become immune. So far, at least, it appears that people who survive the disease arent vulnerable to reinfection.
(Excerpt) Read more at forbes.com ...
F. Flam? Really?
The same wizzards who brought us Globull Warming!
bttt
That’s because everyone will be dead.
Me and my family will be fine. We will just has tag this sucker to death and eat are approved veggy meals.
It will “run out of fuel” and “burn itself out”. The question is how much “fuel” it will consume before that happens.
29% of those exposed get a clinical case of the disease, with about 21% of exposed individuals dying of the disease. 33% of those exposed have some immune response but never develop symptoms; in other words, they fight it off quickly without ever developing a high fever. 38% of those “exposed” (in the sense of having close, unprotected contact) do not develop any immune response and can be assumed to have gotten lucky.
Based on those numbers, Ebola should run out of “fuel” after somewhere between 1.4 and 3.3 billion people. That may not matter to liberals, who see those victims as sources of CO@ “pollution”, but it matters a great deal to me.
This time its bats and Barak Hussein Obama.
One is just an animal the other is an American Hating, batspit crazy, Muzzie with a little communist and fascist thrown in for good measure.
Think of the impressive sizes of wild dog packs, after the disease expands much.
Your percentages add to 121%.
They're supposed to: "29% of those exposed get a clinical case of the disease, with about 21% of exposed individuals dying of the disease." All of those who die of Ebola get a clinical case of the disease before it kills them.
Another movie that was done with considerable cooperation from the CDC itself was “Contagion”. If you haven’t seen it you should but I will say you’ll wash your hands a lot more after seeing it!
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