Global Ebola outbreak deaths exceed 4,000 - WHO
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-29577175
“The latest figures show there have been 4,024 confirmed or suspected deaths in the worst-affected West African nations of Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone.
In total, there have been 8,399 confirmed or suspected cases, mostly in West Africa.”
Does this mean that 8,399 have it and of those 4,024 have died resulting in a 48% fatality rate?
I believe that’s it.
BTW, I don’t for a minute think the “official numbers” are completely accurate.
But even if the “real numbers” are 2x or 3x, it’s still just not wildly infectious.
In the 1918 flu epidemic, the second wave apparently started in September. By the end of October, over 20M Americans had contracted it, and by the end of October 650,000 Americans were dead.
Keep in mind that that contains a large number of unresolved cases. If you want a more accurate mortality rate, you need to compare the number of dead with the number of infections at the time those cases were infected, between 8 and 21 days prior. That will eliminate the unresolved cases which were uninfected at the time those whose outcomes are known were sick and give a higher number for mortality rate.