This race is confusing me. I thought Ernst was favored, then the doom and gloom and now surprise she has a lead. I know Iowa leans Democrat when it comes to national elections, so nothing would surprise me here. I just don’t have a good understanding of the dynamics of this race.
Don’t forget margins of error in these state polls tend to be pretty large. It is really not that surprising to see the polls bounce one way then another when the race is close. Simply put this race is a tossup that could go either way. Of course, that’s now. November is a long way away. Certainly events could change this dynamic.
The Dems have a higher registration here but the incumbent Dem is a total idiot.
If Iowa falls, the senate will fall too, that simple.
An Iowa FREEPer told me that Ernst even being TIED in the polls is a big deal, as the pro-Obama jackal was way way up before the primaries.
It seems the majority of Braley’s ads are just negative against Ernst with no messages about what he is going to do.
Ernst runs negative ads also, but also runs ads telling what she does stand for.
Hopefully Iowans can return to their conservative roots.