So a Liberal newspaper is reporting on a poll claiming that the odds favor the Democrats holding the Senate, even though every other poll on the subject has the Republicans winning the Senate. Why should I believe this poll?
Again, it’s not a poll but a calculation designed to create a prediction of % chances of winning the Senate.
For instance, McConnell in KY has a 68% chance of winning, based on calcs using polls showing him around 4% ahead of Grimes. That 68% is then fed into the calcs predicting % chance of winning the Senate.
Like I said, secret sauce.