Posted on 09/16/2014 3:41:55 PM PDT by Chgogal
Democrats are now (very slightly) favored to hold the Senate majority on Nov. 4, according to Election Lab, The Post's statistical model of the 2014 midterm elections.
Election Lab puts Democrats' chances of retaining their majority at 51 percent — a huge change from even a few months ago, when the model predicted that Republicans had a better than 80 percent chance of winning the six seats they need to take control. (Worth noting: When the model showed Republicans as overwhelming favorites, our model builders — led by George Washington University's John Sides — warned that the model could and would change as more actual polling — as opposed to historical projections — played a larger and larger role in the calculations. And, in Republicans' defense, no one I talked to ever thought they had an 80 percent chance of winning the majority.)
So, what exactly has changed to move the Election Lab projection? Three big things:
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
I don’t believe this poll for a second.
And yet Massacheusets looks seriously competitive now.
Still however, it does look as if the pathetic GOPe, through their actions in Mississippi and elsewhere have pi%%ed off the base enough to repeat 2012.
Congrats Karl Rove! The perennial loser!
Way to go GOPe! You know how to pick ‘em!
I believe it.
Anyone hear anything from the EXEMPT GOP?
Nope. The EXEMPT GOP is arming al Qaeda (”rebels”).
Nope. The EXEMPT GOP is supporting ObamaCARE/RomneyCARE.
this story is crap.
Obamacare’s employer mandate is coming soon
I’m not that excited about voting in November. I’m not that excited about the NFL football season either and for about the same reason.
Tired of the BS and nothing to hope/vote for.
Do what the Dems do,,use the info to raise more money for the Conservatives,,the SCF should do this. Instead of letting it get under our skins,,use it!
They’re just trying to motive the VERY unmotivated far left to get out and vote.
GIGO
What are the Republicans going to do about ObamaCare if they get the Senate?
Nothing.
I dont buy this BS for a second, at least I hope its not true..but after watching this POS Obama win not once but twice, I guess anything is possible..Obama wants to bring out the freeloaders, the ones who sit on their asses waiting for their welfare and food stamp checks to arrive..those are the votes he is counting on to retain control of the Senate, that and of course the illegal aliens who have brought us disease and other vermin
Only via voter fraud.
I don’t know whether or not to raise the BS flag on this.
But I do know that the Republican Party is doing little more than sitting on their hands and watching the days tick by on the calendar. Their campaign slogan isn’t much more than “We need to win the Senate”, and the only time they appear energized about anything is when they attack a major flank of their base: the Tea Party.
It’s theirs to lose, and perhaps they want to.
Good news for democrats. They got it in the bag. Their voters can stay home. The union guys don’t have to make up trunkloads of “recently discovered ballots” of the votes of cartoon characters and dead house pets.
Don’t worry, dems. You got this.
Republicans don’t want power, they want perks without the responsibility.
Did republicans under perform for senate seat in 2010? And again in 2012?
Start of disinformation campaign!
This is what happens when your only message is Democrats bad, Harry Reid evil.
The National GOP leadership has not offered Americans a message,
a plan, a vision, anything of what they would do if given power.
Democrats bad, Harry Reid evil is not enough.
Americans need reasons to vote for, not just against.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.