Not sure where you are seeing that the dem is favored in SC. According to the chart, as of the initial model, the dem had a 2% chance of winning, and as of the update, it became a 1% chance. Lindsey will win, and Silver’s model is predicting that.
Sorry, I was looking at the special election. The chart shows a 1% increase in democrat’s winning chances in Graham’s race. However, that 1% increase is an increase from 3% to 4% winning chances. The model is certainly predicting a Graham victory, and it would certainly be VERY shocking to see the dems take that seat.
Thanks. I was a little confused at first.