I’m sorry. CFR is Case Fatality Rate, to calculate number of deaths.
I used the reported fatality rate as of 9/10/14. The model allows me to adjust this for people who have contracted ebola within the last 3 weeks (and are included in the reported cases number), but have not yet died. In the adjustment, I apply the same fatality rate to these recent cases, but divide by two, assuming that of all the recent cases, half of those who will die have already done so.