Comment: When some 30 % of the present leadership of ISIS is taken out it will disintegrate in smaller sub-ISIS fighting for control and can be mopped up in Iraq by the Kurds and the Sunni tribes.
Since some 5 % of the youth population is attracted by authoritarian ideas and violence there will be Salafist terrorists for another couple of years. It is similar to the left wing terrorists a few years ago. They are just looking for a cause. I wonder what ideas will attract this type of people in 2030?
John Schindler has some good ideas on how to get rid of IS/ISIS: http://20committee.com/2014/09/11/defeating-the-islamic-state-a-how-to-guide/
This is bad:
ISIS are selling oil “at a discount of between $30 and $40 a barrel through smuggling routes in Turkey, Kurdistan and Jordan,” he said. And though the terrorist group is not seen as strong enough to seize the rest of Iraq’s 2.5 million barrels a day of production, the small amount the Islamic State now controls is enough to yield about $1 billion of year in funds to support their brutal operations, he said.
“That’s a scary situation. That’s a lot of money for a terrorist group to have access to.”
In his travels in Iraq and elsewhere in the Middle East, Mr. Faulkner said he’s found allies are no longer certain that the U.S. will provide military support if they need it, creating openings for troublemakers. “The guard of the world may be asleep. It’s a very scary situation.”
“You have allies asking us, ‘If ISIS invades, will the U.S. help us out?’ Most allies don’t know anymore. The answer used to be a solid yes. It’s because of the downsizing of the military, 20 long years of war, lots of debt” and other legacies of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, he said.
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/sep/8/us-oil-surplus-eases-prices-in-global-crises
Live oil price: http://www.oil-price.net/
Thanks AdmSmith.