Posted on 08/20/2014 12:54:39 PM PDT by PJ-Comix
Between 17 and 18 August 2014, a total of 221 new cases of Ebola virus disease (laboratory-confirmed, probable, and suspect cases) as well as 106 deaths were reported from Guinea, Liberia, Nigeria, and Sierra Leone.
(Excerpt) Read more at who.int ...
I expect the official Ebola stats by mid-September to rise to 200 cases and 100 deaths per day.
FYI
But hey, let’s get all worked up over a black thug who thought he could beat up a white cop.
Meanwhile Rome simmers . . er, make that West Africa
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Diseased_Ebola_2014.png
It will take much effort to get those horses back into the barn.
I suspect this understates the situation by an order of magnitude in Liberia at least. These places are unlikely to be up to tracking this very well, and besides which its apparent that order has broken down in parts of Liberia.
Its loose in Monrovia, that’s a lot of potential victims in a concentrated group. A village, just a very big one. This disease has nearly wiped out small villages previously.
Wow .... trend is straight up. To get to 42 days of no new cases (indicating Ebola outbreak has burned itself out) is nowhere in sight anytime in the near future. Somewhere I saw an estimate of 6 months ... I think longer, especially with events going on like the clinics having break-ins with infected items stolen, etc.
When the numbers of infected/dead from the slum of West Point start in about 2 or 3 weeks, then it will be straight up.
It’s almost as though some instigator wanted that loose in the slums.
Solves a lot of ‘problems’ if you’re cold hearted about human life. I’m waiting for the ‘let no crisis go to waste’ folks to figure out it would take care of some areas in this country that would be politically advantageous. By their deeds already, they’ve proved that their politics trumps everything, including human life ..... it wouldn’t be hard for them to arrange.
Field trial from some terry's?
Who knows.
Elites in the third world have a very low opinion of their poor. If that spot of land might be developed for a profit it would be right up their alley to do such a thing.
You bring up a valid point..
On August 6, just two weeks ago, the Ebola rate was 36 new cases and 15 deaths per day. Therefore in just 2 weeks the case and death rate per day has more than tripled. If the rate triples in 2 weeks, then the rate per day will be over 300 new cases and 150 deaths each day by first week of September.
Well, we'll also have to factor in ebola spread by gunshot wounds.
Reports have already been published of police firing on rioters in the West Point quarantine enclave. That flu forum has links up.
IIRC from clips the residents became truly pissed when a gov. Minister Haja somethimg was allowed to enter to collect her children. The violence broke out as she exited the enclosed ghetto.
Just a few hours ago I posted that the police or soldiers would face hard decisions very soon. Little did I know.
A link to this thread has been posted on the Ebola Surveillance Thread
Announcing the quarantine, as well as a wider curfew, President Ellen Johnson Sirleaf said last night: 'We have been unable to control the spread due to continued denials, cultural burying practices, disregard for the advice of health workers and disrespect for the warnings by the government.
'As a result and due to the large population concentration the disease has spread widely in Monrovia and environs.'
'May God bless us all and save the state,' she later added.
I’d be happy just to see the new case numbers drop below the previous new case numbers. That would indicate they were starting to get some control.
But no, let’s do nothing and let potential carriers fly all over the world.
Bump.
If it’s loose in the West Point slum, which is quarantined with 50K residents inside and no sanitation or waste removal, with an 80% mortality we’re looking at 40K dead there before it’s over with.
And that’s just one slum. There are several in/around Freetown, Sierra Leone as well.
Apocalyptic is correct.
I’m sure she’s getting numbers and information that WHO can only dream of at this point.
Keep in mind that the 50,000 West Point population is packed into a small peninsula only a half mile long. Any infection would spread rapidly there.
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