What data sources are you using? Do you have sufficient data to extrapolate the rate of increase to that time? I would love to see the math (and I agree with you).
The math is based on the reported increases in the past couple of weeks. Of course, the reported cases are way below the actual cases. In any event, the projections I see are 200 new cases per day and 100 deaths per day by first week of September. Official. We shall soon find out.