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To: steve86
there are about 1800 reported cases.

assume not all are being reported. if just 100 were infected and continued to walk around in a densely populated city... it'd take NO TIME to get to 30,000

only reason it hasn't happened yet was... it hasn't hit a densely populated city... yet

it bounced off lagos, but they *think* they have it contained. the next 7-10 days will tell which way it goes.

btw, these graphs should make you very nervous (data source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_West_Africa_Ebola_outbreak#Timeline_of_the_outbreak)


15 posted on 08/09/2014 4:08:09 PM PDT by sten (fighting tyranny never goes out of style)
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To: sten

IIRC, 30K was reported to be the number of people the Nigerian government was interested in tracing regarding the potential contact network of Patrick Sawyer.


16 posted on 08/09/2014 4:15:58 PM PDT by independentmind
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To: sten
btw, these graphs should make you very nervous

I am nervous and have been following the epidemiology of Ebola HF for years.

However, you should know that graphs going parabolic often collapse shortly afterward -- simple technical analysis. There is more room for exponential growth from this point, but the line will not go up vertically for long.

18 posted on 08/09/2014 5:05:02 PM PDT by steve86 ( Acerbic by nature, not nurture)
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To: sten

Thanks for this. Whadabet Obama and Co. are hiding the true potential of this African disease? (at least at this point).


24 posted on 08/09/2014 6:49:38 PM PDT by vox_freedom (America is being tested as never before in its history. May God help us.)
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