assume not all are being reported. if just 100 were infected and continued to walk around in a densely populated city... it'd take NO TIME to get to 30,000
only reason it hasn't happened yet was... it hasn't hit a densely populated city... yet
it bounced off lagos, but they *think* they have it contained. the next 7-10 days will tell which way it goes.
btw, these graphs should make you very nervous (data source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_West_Africa_Ebola_outbreak#Timeline_of_the_outbreak)
IIRC, 30K was reported to be the number of people the Nigerian government was interested in tracing regarding the potential contact network of Patrick Sawyer.
I am nervous and have been following the epidemiology of Ebola HF for years.
However, you should know that graphs going parabolic often collapse shortly afterward -- simple technical analysis. There is more room for exponential growth from this point, but the line will not go up vertically for long.
Thanks for this. Whadabet Obama and Co. are hiding the true potential of this African disease? (at least at this point).