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To: Cold Heat

What was the time frame for the 500 to 700 jump? IOW how long did it take for that jump to occur? One thing missing in all the articles I have read on Ebola is a discussion of time. It is critically important to chart the rate of change of the fatalities and infected, in other words R = de/dt.


112 posted on 08/06/2014 9:36:23 PM PDT by lafroste (matthewharbert.wix.com/matthew-harbert)
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To: lafroste

3-4 weeks I think.....but that’s not all that important.

You can expect the death count to do a jump like that. The last raise was about 2 weeks I think....I don’t have the numbers and dates handy.

In any case, the total infected at about 1600 and the deaths at 800, make the two figures looking like they are catching up with each other or stabilizing..

When you have the infections far outpacing the expected deaths, you know right away that the situation is not stable.

With the figure now starting to look normal or in a expected range for a aftermath of a outbreak. The outbreak may be turning the corner.

So...how many ways do I have to say this before you understand what I am saying.


116 posted on 08/06/2014 9:47:15 PM PDT by Cold Heat (Have you reached your breaking point yet? If not now....then when?)
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