Posted on 07/21/2014 9:45:30 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Republicans entered this election cycle with high hopes. President Obama’s approval ratings had sunk into the low 40s, and the rollout of the Affordable Care Act had been an unmitigated disaster. In an off-year election, Democrats weren’t expected to fully mobilize the young and diverse coalition that has given them an advantage in presidential elections. Off-years are also when a president’s party typically suffers significant losses.
This year seemed poised to turn into another so-called wave election, like in 2006 or 2010, when a rising tide of dissatisfaction with the incumbent party swept the opposition into power. Given a favorable midterm map, with so many Democratic Senate seats in play, some analysts suggested that Republicans could win a dozen of them, perhaps even picking up seats in states like Virginia, New Hampshire and Oregon.
The anti-Democratic wave might still arrive. But with three and a half months to go until November’s elections, the promised Republican momentum has yet to materialize.
The race for the Senate, at least right now, is stable. There aren’t many polls asking whether voters would prefer Democrats or Republicans to control Congress, but the Democrats appear to maintain a slight edge among registered voters. Democratic incumbents in red Republican states, who would be all but doomed in a Republican wave, appear doggedly competitive in places where Mitt Romney won by as much as 24 points in 2012.
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
The race for the Senate, at least right now, is stable. There aren’t many polls asking whether voters would prefer Democrats or Republicans to control Congress, but the Democrats appear to maintain a slight edge among registered voters.
Partnering with SocialSphere, Inc., of Cambridge, Massachusetts – which designed and directed the survey – POLITICO surveyed 834 likely voters in the states and districts with the most competitive Senate and House races, as ranked by the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Conducted from July 3-13.
If the election for the [U.S. House of Representatives/U.S. Senate] were held today, would you vote for the [Democratic candidate] or the [Republican candidate] in [your district/your state]?
Republican candidate 39% Democratic candidate 37% Don't know 23%
Real Clear Politics shows, currently, GOP pickup of 6 senate seats. Election tomorrow: GOP controls Senate 51-49. Make what you want of that.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/2014_elections_senate_map_no_toss_ups.html
Meet the new boss, same as the old boss.
Their hatred for us, and the SEIU will bring them to the polls.
>> Republicans always snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.
The GOP establishment to be precise.
Wishful thinking on the part of NYT.
Generally speaking the Party out of power makes significant gains in midterm elections. This is even more pronounced in the 6th year of an incumbent administration.
Moreover, the electorate in midterm elections is much different than is the case in presidential elections. The voters in midterm election tend to be older, whiter, and more dedicated, therefore more Republican, than is the case in presidential elections.
Furthermore, the illegal immigration issue is shaping up to be the number one issue this Fall, another factor which will drive up conservative and GOP numbers to the polls.
The GOP’s top down war against the republican base is demoralizing it, and helping to invigorate the democrats, and feeding talking points and image reinforcement into the media’s national narrative against the republicans.
“According to today’s Politico.com poll, you are on to something...”
Can we rely on what Politico says? I am under the impression that they are approaching the propaganda level of the NY Times.
Not in this case. I hate to agree with anything that is in the NY Times, other than the date, but I fail to see a groundswell of Republican support.
NYT reporter just whistling past the graveyard. Trouble is his whistling he might just wake up a lot Dem voters who reside there, yet still show up at the polls every year.
What? A party that stomps its own base into the dirt, even to the point of slandering them as KKK racists, quashes all debate, and betrays its own supposed platform every single day, is failing to build enthusiasm for electing its candidates?
Who’d a thunk it...
” I fail to see a groundswell of Republican support.”
I don’t detect a groundswell of Democrat support, either. As another poster pointed out, it may boil down not to which party the voters like the most, but which party the voters despise the most.
Conservatives are going to sit home in Mississippi. And I don’t blame them one damned bit. Mitch McConnell will lose to Grimes in Kentucky, and Pryor will hold on in Arkansas. Meanwhile, the Republicans are having their convention in Cleveland. The GOP has to die before anything changes.
“Nate Cohen?””” a Nate Silver wannabe..???
Which is why if there has ever been a time for a new political movement to emerge, the time is now....There has never been so much dissatisfaction with both parties.
Who is worth backing?
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How could republican and conservative voters NOT be inspired by the likes of John “no I won’t impeach Obama or defund Obama’s unconstitutional law breaking or punish him in any way” Boehner???
Or Juan McCain? Or Eric Cantor?
Aside from a few good attack dogs the Republicans are not much more than liberal-lite.
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