How do you interpret my opening question with “the end” of my analysis? I have drawn no conclusion whatsoever. Very little is known at this point and additional information and disinformation from all sides is still coming in and will need to be evaluated. It would be foolish to rule out anything yet, or to make a conclusion based on so little information. More information is better than less.
If your conclusion did not end your analysis, good for you. I’ve seen it stop there for others.