I cannot quite believe that ABC News supposes that the senatorial race in Kentucky is a mere "Toss-up."
Stu Rothenberg (in The Rothenberg Political Report) lists it as "Leans Republican"; and this, as recently as July 10.
Kyle Kondik--writing in Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball, also on July 10--notes that "[A]ll the remaining incumbents in the 11 contests left to go are at least small favorites from here on out." He continues: "Probably the likeliest Senate incumbent loss would come on the Democratic side, where appointed Sen. Brian Schatz (D-HI) faces a challenge from Rep. Colleen Hanabusa (D, HI-1)."
Unfortunately, I am aware of no recent poll in this regard--although Rasmussen had Sen. McConnell up by seven points in a poll of likely voters conducted between 5/28 and 5/29.
ABC is just carrying water for Grimes. Calling thecrace a tossup will bring in a lot more donations than calling it a lean-GOP will.
I’m getting amused by all the Grimes ads blasting McConnell for his obstructionism. Assuming that he really is being obstructionist, it’s that obstructionism that’s saving two things Grime professes to love: the coal industry and gun rights.