IMPORTANT GOP House Primary Races: And How You Can Help (Northeast and South)

[Impy]

Shameful, I agree we should reject those candidates that tell blatant lies about their primary opponents.

[Jane Long]

FYI....Young Conservatives of Texas have endorsed, and Sen Ted Cruz is stumping for, Quico Canseco for TX 23.

[campaignPete R-CT]

http://www.arktimes.com/ArkansasBlog/archives/2014/05/04/poll-french-hill-bruce-westerman-lead-gop-congressional-primaries

Moll is toast.

[AuH2ORepublican]

But, but, Moll says that he’s Tea Party, and has been giving conservative speeches for six months now; and a little bird told me that he’s the step-brother-in-law of liberal former Lt. Gov. Bill Halter, and that it would be greatly embarrassing to Halter should Moll be elected.

[ObamahatesPACoal]

I know some of these aren’t from the correct region but disproportionate amount of those surveyed are from the south.

http://fairtaskforce.com/?paged=2

Candidate Questionnaire: Will you promise to protect American workers?

Dennis Linthicum, OR

Earl L “Buddy” Carter, GA

Katrina Pierson, TX

Erick Paul Wyatt, OK

Darwin Carter, GA

Jo Rae Perkins, OR

Matt Connolly, PA

Brian Slowinski, GA

John E. Stone, GA

Paul Broun, GA

Karen Handel, GA

Tom Vigneulle, AL

Carlton M Higbie IV, CT

Shane Osborn, NE

Joe Carr, TN

Igor Birman, CA

Col. Rob Maness, LA

Greg Bannon, NC

Gary Palmer, AL

[ObamahatesPACoal]

Scott Beason, AL

David A. Brat, VA

Rep. Walter P. Jones, NC

Dr. Chad Mathis – AL

Paul DeMarco, AL

Will Brooke, AL

Frank Roche, NC

Mark Harris, NC

Chris B. McDaniel, MS

Jacob Brimm, TN

[ObamahatesPACoal]

Ron Vincent, MS

Anthony Wilkinson, NJ

David Larsen, NJ

Mike Assad, NJ

Rick Van Glahn, NJ

Murray Sabrin, NJ

Steve Lonegan, NJ

[Impy]

Filing closed in MA.

Besides the liberal RINO homosexual in district 6 we may have a chance in district 9 (it’s rated as safe D by everyone as of now).

According to the latest FEC filings 2 Republicans running have some appreciable resources. Former Reagan aide John Chapman and lawyer Dan Shores.

[Impy]

There’s a new GOP contender in NH-2

http://www.wmur.com/political-scoop/firstever-africanamerican-to-run-for-congress-in-nh-emerges/26402326#!WS2OI

Former State Rep. Jim Lawrence, according to this article he’s the first Black candidate to ever run for Congress in NH.

I don’t know if he’s preferable to the lovely Marilinda Garcia.

Also mentioned in article is Eddie Edwards (R), the South Hampton Police Chief who’s trying to become the first Black State Senator. District 4, which in 2012 went for Obama 58%-40% and for elected a rat Senator 55%-45%.

[Impy]

Poll in NY-18

Former Rep. Nan Hayworth (R/C/IP) 44%, Sean Maloney (D/WF) 40%

[fieldmarshaldj]

Terrible polling for the incumbent, Maloney. Hopefully Hayworth will take her seat back (along with a few others in Dem-overrepresented NY).

[AuH2ORepublican]

Hayworth is no prize (she’s like Sue Kelly Version 2.0), but way preferable to that gay ultraliberal RAT. I like Hayworth’s chances, particularly since she, not Maloney, will be on the Independence Party ballot line.

That CD is one of a handful nationwide that went GOP in 2002 and 2004, RAT in 2006 and 2008, GOP in 2010 and RAT in 2012, perfectly matching the national electirate’s mood. Hopefully it will swing back to the GOP in what’s looking like a very good GOP year.

[lowtaxsmallgov]

CT05 is your home district, right?

What’s the latest in that CD? Do you have an assessment of Greenberg and his chances for an epic take down of Esty?

[campaignPete R-CT]

I support Greenberg 100%.
Democrats don’t like to lose in this state.
Greenberg has to improve certain areas of his campaign effort to have a chance.
I avoid public critiques.

[Impy]

New England College Poll

NH-1

Guinta (R) 46%, Che-Porter (D) 44%

NH-2

Kusterd (D) 46%, Garcia (R) 43%

NH Governor

Hassan (D) 49%, Havenstein (R) 44%

Monmouth Poll

NJ CD-5

Scott Garrett (R) 48%, Roy Cho (D) 43%

Considered a safe GOP seat, something going on or a BS poll? Cho is financially competitive but still lags well behind Garrett in fundraising.

Critical Insights Poll

ME Governor

LePage (R) 39%, Michaud 36%, Cutler (I) 21%

ME CD-2

Poliquin 41% (R), Cain (D) 36%

Remington Research Group Poll

IA-3 (not the Northeast, but who cares)

David Young (R) 46%, Staci Appel (D) 42%, Ed Wright (L) 5%.

Last poll had the rat ahead

[AuH2ORepublican]

NJ-05 isn’t as safely Republican as it was prior to 2012 redistricting, but it’s still a comfortably GOP seat. Garrett is to the right of the district, and Cho is spending some money, but Garrett will win by 8%-12%.

That Remington poll in IA-03 is an R poll, and I fear that Appel is ahead.

In NH, right now I’d predict that Guinta will win by 4% or so and Brown will beat Shaheen by 2%, but Havenstein and the lovely Marilinda Garcia will fall just short. I hope that I’m wrong about Haverstein and Garcia (especially the latter, who could become a superstar in the House and a future Senator or more).

Good poll out of Maine. Looks like LePage might draw that inside straight once again and win with 40% or less, and Poliquin is poised to become the most conservative member of Congress from ME (either house) in at least a half century.

[Impy]

Meanwhile in NJ-2

Frank LoBiondo (R) 56%, Rat Scion Bill Hughes (D) 35%.

[fieldmarshaldj]

Looks like Frank will probably end up with better than 60%. Billy Hughes is already doing 5% worse than the desultory Democrat woman who ran in 2012 (and spent apparently all of just over 300 bucks(!)). Actually, his 58% in 2012 under the new lines was his worst performance since he lost challenging Bill Hughes, Sr. in 1992, when he got all of 41%. He usually does in the 60%s (except for 2008 when he got 59%), with a high water-mark of 69% in 2002.

[AuH2ORepublican]

Well, that certainly should disabuse anyone of the notion that LoBiondo might be in trouble based on that one poll from a couple of weeks ago.

Looks like the only possible RAT pickup in the Norteast is NY-11 (Grimm’s seat), which could go down to the wire.