Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: jazusamo

Place holding ping


55 posted on 04/02/2014 1:58:35 PM PDT by irish guard
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]


To: irish guard
So I challenged my son to calculate the odds of this.....he used SSN last four digits rather than Date of Birth since DOB would have 365 days times roughly 55 years of eligible voters gets the numbers into the stratosphere.....bear with the math....

The odds of two people having the same last four digits is 1 in 9,999

There are 150K surnames in the US, the top 100 of which account for 46M people, roughly 1/6. Let's be really generous and say that they're all top 100 surnames, and the odds of two people having the same surname are also 1 in 10,000

There are 5K different first names in the US. The top 100 account for 60%. 6 names cover 1/6 of the male population, so let's say 12 names total. 1 in 144

This is all way underselling the improbability

Odds of all three occurring together given the parameters: 1 in 14.4 Billion.

So there may be a few with similar names and dates of birth just by coincidence.....but not 35,750 times. No way

105 posted on 04/02/2014 3:54:15 PM PDT by irish guard
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 55 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson