No, on #1 and, no, on #2.
Why did I nix #2? Because of the military radar at Diego Garcia would see it. I thought it might go to Somalia, Yemen, or somewhere in that area but because of the military radar coverage in that area I decided against it.
I’m beginning to think it went north into the mountains to evade radar. Destination? Iran or possibly even Pakistan.
I think the government knows what happened but isn’t telling.
Interesting and informative link here:
with maps and answers re: radar and distance.