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New doomsday poll: 99.9% risk of 2014 crash
Market Watch ^
| March 15, 2014
| by PAUL B. FARRELL
Posted on 03/15/2014 2:47:50 PM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer
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Definition of 'Black Swan'
An event or occurrence that deviates beyond what is normally expected of a situation and that would be extremely difficult to predict. This term was popularized by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a finance professor and former Wall Street trader.
To: Oldeconomybuyer
I’m already out of the market and into cash. Wish I could be in gold / silver but my 401K has limited options.
To: Oldeconomybuyer
Swan, swan, hummingbird, we are all free now...
oops, sorry, got carried away.
To: Oldeconomybuyer
Definition of Paul Farrell (MW writer) = dweeb.
He seems to be paid by the word and tends to write a lot of BS.
4
posted on
03/15/2014 2:57:14 PM PDT
by
Sarajevo
(Two cannibals are eating a clown. One says to the other: "Does this taste funny to you?")
Comment #5 Removed by Moderator
To: Oldeconomybuyer
Nothing on earth goes up forever, so one of these days, these forecasts will be right. Of course, it will be too late to do anything about it then, so planting a vegetable garden for your family is always a good thing to do in spring.
6
posted on
03/15/2014 3:07:05 PM PDT
by
txrefugee
To: taxcontrol
Im already out of the market and into cash. Problem is (for me)... my "cash" option is bonds.
7
posted on
03/15/2014 3:07:27 PM PDT
by
grobdriver
(Where is Wilson Blair when you need him?)
To: Oldeconomybuyer
Been reading this silliness for 20 years or more.
I guess if they say it long enough and it happens they get to say ... see, I told you so.
To: Sarajevo
The title sounds like an Ivory soap commercial.
9
posted on
03/15/2014 3:53:12 PM PDT
by
Mark
(Obama Care is now DEMOCRAT CARE)
To: grobdriver
Yeah man, that really sucks.
To: grobdriver
Mine too. I don’t believe ANY 401K has a true cash option. They all have bonds. While the safest and most conservative option, they are bonds. If the bond market tanks, then that options sucks too.
11
posted on
03/15/2014 4:11:37 PM PDT
by
RacerXSpeedRacer
(We must remove the "old guard" RINO's.)
To: Oldeconomybuyer
No such thing as a 99.9% risk.
12
posted on
03/15/2014 4:25:31 PM PDT
by
Raycpa
To: RacerXSpeedRacer
Yes and “know”. If your cash was in bonds when the market crashes, you convert them to the stock which now costs less. Most market crashes will reward this type buying.
13
posted on
03/15/2014 4:55:52 PM PDT
by
Jumper
To: Oldeconomybuyer
Rubbish, If anyone believed that 99.9% number they would load up on puts which expire at the end of the year
14
posted on
03/15/2014 4:59:42 PM PDT
by
BRL
To: taxcontrol
“
Im already out of the market and into cash. Wish I could be in gold / silver but my 401K has limited options.”
Question of the day is where is a safe place for cash? Banks/S&L/Credit Union not feeling to good about them either
15
posted on
03/15/2014 5:03:35 PM PDT
by
blueyon
(The U. S. Constitution - read it and weep)
To: blueyon
16
posted on
03/15/2014 5:12:26 PM PDT
by
Raycpa
To: Mark
It sure does.
MarketWatch used to be one of the premier sites for information on stocks and the business world. The also had a large following because we could blog with like-minded investors. Sometime in 2010, they went off a cliff and started posting sensationalist headlines and very poorly researched and written articles. When a lot of us complained about the new status quo, we were subsequently banned. Many migrated over to Seeking Alpha.
17
posted on
03/15/2014 5:21:31 PM PDT
by
Sarajevo
(Two cannibals are eating a clown. One says to the other: "Does this taste funny to you?")
To: RacerXSpeedRacer
Which is why Ellis: Dont own bonds caught my eye.
18
posted on
03/15/2014 5:22:51 PM PDT
by
grobdriver
(Where is Wilson Blair when you need him?)
To: taxcontrol
both gold and silver are “on sale”. I wish I would have dumped my few gold dollars when it was at $1800
heard a report that said copper was down and that copper was used as an indicator on the health of the world economy.
So......who knows. But a correction is due.
19
posted on
03/15/2014 5:40:02 PM PDT
by
12th_Monkey
(One man one vote is a big fail, when the "one" man is an idiot.)
To: RIghtwardHo
You need to do your homework. The financial conditions today are much worse than at any time in the past 20 years. It is not “silliness.” Wake up and smell the coffee.
20
posted on
03/15/2014 6:10:45 PM PDT
by
SVTCobra03
(You can never have enough friends, horsepower or ammunition.)
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