You know what, and I believe some of our Air Force bretheren shoudl chime in on this...
It is one thing to be able to develop an integrated system of delivering a nuclear warhead payload on top of a ICBM...
The only two countries that I believe have had some semblance of success has been US and the Russians...China made the attempt, but from what I have seen over the last 20-25 years, their ICBM program is second rate at best, not very reliable, extremely risky for failure if utilized...
Maybe you do not need to have the accuracy we have been able to develop since we started our program, and the Russains make up for acuracy with throw weight (megatonnage of the warhead’s)...
Iran is a baby, considering the potential capability in their development stage, at this point...
To me, and some folks I know have gamed this out, that someone like Iran would not necessarily park a warhead on top of those NK technology missiles and pull the trigger...There is no guarantee it would work...
Real quick...The reason I believe the Saudi’s have been working with the Israelis to perhaps allow Israel to land and refule their force in the event a strike is ordered on Iran, is very telling about the inside intelligence those countries have in backdoor communications...The confidence level of an Iranian missile failing and dropping that egg on Saudi Arabia or other nieghboring countries is extremely high...Therefore, the Saudi’s are hedging their bets on Israel being able to cripple the program...
Maybe not stop the Iranian nuclear weapons program, but at least knock it back a little bit and allow the dust to settle, and see if their attack garners some credible alliances with countries able to assist in the efforts to curb the Iranian nuclear weapons program...
Only then will we possibly see stability, and only after we see instability created by such a targeted conflict...
The Obama Administration has seen fit to create this instability, and pushed Israel to seriously plan, and eventually execute such a pre-emptive strike...
If the Iranian ICBM program is designed to reach globally, and they prove it can work with some degree of confidence...I believe it would take a successful launch and detonation of a nuclear weapon on Europe or even the USA to warrant a complete and utter annilation of what will be called the “former” country of Iran...
We would probably have to take a real bad bloddy nose before a response of that nature would be reluctantly warranted by the appeasers in our government now...
Just my opinion...
To me, the most viable method of delivering a nuclear package to Israel, or some other place would be to ship it, or truck it to the area they wish to dissapear, and give a sad sack martyr the pickle, and shout “Alluha Ackbar” and turn night into day...
If I were the bad guys in this deal, that would be my recommedation to the mullah’s in delievering a crippling blow to the infidels...
But this is just the way I tend to look at things like this...
Obama's been purging members of the military... most are rational decisions. But the ones in missile command are suspicious.
While it's true that the mullahs have been playing us with "good cop, bad cop" tactics, there are nevertheless millions of Iranians who are not down with the 8th-century b.s. and who are relatively Europeanized and civilized and have been so since the time of the Shah. They are not Quds Brigade thugs.
The solution would have to take out the mullahs and their supporters selectively -- "decapitating" the black-rag superstructure -- while taking care not to touch the Iranian populace. Wrinkle: Any major, indiscriminate attack on Iran would radicalize even the "civilized" Persians and possibly cause them to rally to the scumbag regime.
The Western-oriented people who served the imperial Iranian military establishment 35 years ago are probably all gone now, but their scions may still serve in the ranks. I just don't know how opinion profiles inside the Iranian military, but the mullahs have done us the favor of continuing to draw off the wild-eyed types to the IRGC and the Quds Brigade, meaning that the regulars may be a lot less raggie-sympathetic than many people think. I just don't know. But why stir them up? Just kill the mullahs and be done. Leave the general population alone while killing the Basij and IRGC red-hots.