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Gallup explains what went wrong in 2012 (Obama won?)
Washington Post ^
| June 4, 2013
| Scott Clement
Posted on 06/05/2013 11:45:14 AM PDT by Seizethecarp
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To: ChinaGotTheGoodsOnClinton
21
posted on
06/05/2013 12:13:52 PM PDT
by
Yosemitest
(It's Simple ! Fight, ... or Die !)
To: Seizethecarp
They forgot to account for massive fraud, felonies, and assorted ethical and moral lapses on the part of the libturds.
22
posted on
06/05/2013 12:43:40 PM PDT
by
wastoute
(Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
To: Seizethecarp
“2. Too many whites “
Yeh too many whites sat home.
23
posted on
06/05/2013 12:50:41 PM PDT
by
Georgia Girl 2
(The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
To: kjo
Given what we are finding out about the IRS...there is a serious question of voter suppression on the part of the administrations bureaucracy.The ONLY people responsible for the suppression of GOP and conservative voters are the inside-the-beltway GOP elites who did everything they could to promote a liberal RINO who was unable to inspire the conservative base.
To: Labyrinthos
Gallup’s problem is that they only count live voters.
25
posted on
06/05/2013 1:31:55 PM PDT
by
aimhigh
(Guns do not kill people. Abortion kills people.)
To: spawn44
And here we are 8 months later and where is the stupid party on this or any other issue? Out to lunch.
26
posted on
06/05/2013 1:33:38 PM PDT
by
riri
(Plannedopolis-look it up. It's how the elites plan for US to live.)
To: Seizethecarp
One cannot poll a stolen election.
LLS
27
posted on
06/05/2013 1:40:42 PM PDT
by
LibLieSlayer
(FROM MY COLD, DEAD HANDS!)
To: Seizethecarp
Excuses, excuses Romney lost because he wasn’t Conservative enough.
28
posted on
06/06/2013 5:15:49 AM PDT
by
2001convSVT
(Going Galt as fast as I can.)
To: Seizethecarp
2. Too many whites
Gallups pre-election surveys contained too many whites among the base sample of American adults and too few Hispanics and African Americans, a bias that had the potential for great impact given deep racial voting divisions.
This one is of particular concern, given that 2012 might have been a racial-turnout anomaly involving the reelection of a Black President.
Gallup and other polling organizations are going to have to take a guess as to whether the exceptionally high turnout of Blacks is going to persist for future elections, both Presidentials and mid-terms. We might see - likely will see - an overcompensation in future polls that oversamples Blacks relative to actual election day turnout. Skewing pre-election numbers in favor of Democrats.
To: tanknetter
Black turnout in 2012 was 13% of the electorate. The black percentage of the US population is 13%. In 2008, Obama got 95% of the black vote. In 2012 he got 93% of the black vote.
Where Obama increased his 2012 performance was among Latino voters, 67% in 2008 up to 71% for Obama in 2012 and Asian-American voters, 62% in 2008 up to 73% for Obama in 2012.
To: E. Pluribus Unum
“Gallup was wrong because they were unaware of the Ubama administration’s use of the IRS to suppress conservative turnout.”
I still say the election was stolen by all kinds of fraud.
31
posted on
06/08/2013 7:15:14 PM PDT
by
District13
(I miss my country!)
To: District13
I still say the election was stolen by all kinds of fraud. And Myth never said a word. It would have been ungentlemanly.
32
posted on
06/09/2013 7:49:52 AM PDT
by
E. Pluribus Unum
("Forget it, Jake. It's Eric Holder's people.")
To: E. Pluribus Unum
You and I agree on something: Romney is too darn nice!!! I mean - where is the outrage?????
33
posted on
06/09/2013 7:58:16 AM PDT
by
District13
(I miss my country!)
To: Seizethecarp
They undersampled the dead, and oversampled the informed.
34
posted on
06/09/2013 8:04:01 AM PDT
by
andy58-in-nh
(Cogito, ergo armatum sum.)
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