1. The BSA policy goes into effect 7 months from now. Something can happen between now and then.
In practice, the new policy is in de facto effect NOW. There will be no dismissals of openly "geh" scouts as an understood moratorium on the old policy will be in effect, just as it was in the military before the DADT repeal was "effective."
Otherwise, we'd see activist homosexual boys being expelled from scouting now, only to be reinstated in 7 months. This would never withstand ANY legal scrutiny (from what passes for "legal" thought nowadays.)
You make an excellent point about the new rule already being </i> de facto</i>. I saw a picture of 1 scout in uniform at Grapevine during the business meeting who was said to be a self-identified homosexual. In my readings, I have only come across 2 instances where a self-outed youth scout was kicked out of BSA - 1 in 2000 in the Old Hickory Council (NC) and the other in 2012 in the Silverado Mt. Diablo Council (CA). Undoubtedly there have been others, but my impression is that it is a rare event. Unquestionably, sympathetic troops have shielded known homosexual scouts over the years. The recent rash of scouts being expunged from the BSA have in reality been scouters, i.e., older than 18 (early to mid-20s). Many of these men were employed at summer camps. But you are so right, what volunteer would want to expend the energy in attempting to expunge a self-outed scout now when the likely result would be tremendous blowback on him by the homosexual lobby.