Posted on 04/22/2013 3:06:40 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
According to Public Policy Polling, anyway. Granted, polling is especially with a special election, because it’s difficult to really gauge what turnout is going to look like … but it’s kind of starting to look like, if any Republican could somehow possibly manage to lose this deeply crimson seat, Sanford could.
PPP’s newest poll on the special election in South Carolina finds Democrat Elizabeth Colbert Busch expanding her lead to 9 points over Mark Sanford at 50/41. Green Party candidate Eugene Platt polls at 3%.
Colbert Busch’s lead is on the rise for several reasons. She has a 51/35 advantage with independents. She’s winning over 19% of Republicans, while losing just 7% of Democrats. And it also seems that after last week’s revelations about Sanford that a lot of GOP voters are planning to just stay at home- while the district supported Mitt Romney by 18 points last fall, those planning to turn out for the special election voted for him by only a 5 point spread.
Sanford continues to be unpopular in the district with 38% of voters rating him favorably to 56% with a negative opinion. 51% say the revelations about his trespassing last week give them doubts about his fitness for public office. Interestingly the events of the last week haven’t hurt Sanford too much with Republicans though- 65% say the trespassing charges don’t give them any doubts about him, and his favorability with GOP voters has actually improved from 55/39 a month ago to now 61/32.
Yikes. This is all coming after the NRCC decided to jump ship and leave Sanford’s campaign to itself after last week’s revelations that he’s been caught violating his divorce agreement by trespassing at his wife’s home earlier this year, and big-name DC Republicans canceled a fundraiser they were planning to help out his campaign in the short space left before the May 7th election. And heck, with solid gold campaign tactics like this, who needs ‘em, anyway?
Former South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford returns to the campaign trail next week and wants his Democratic congressional opponent, Elizabeth Colbert Busch, to join him. …
The campaign released a statement Friday saying Sanford plans to make 15 stops in five days next week in the Republican-leaning district on the states coast.
To date, my opponent has refused to do any joint public appearances or debate the issues for the benefit of voters in the 1st District, Sanford said. Without debate on issues we are getting what President Obama and Nancy Pelosi gave us with ObamaCare pass it and then you can see whats in it. Now its vote for Colbert Busch and then see where she stands on the issues.
The Colbert Busch campaign did not respond directly, but said that the candidate, the sister of comedian Stephen Colbert, has her own aggressive campaign schedule for the coming three weeks. She has scheduled a full day of events in Beaufort County today.
Read more here: http://www.thestate.com/2013/04/19/2732462/sanford-to-travel-1st-district.html#emlnl=Morning_newsletter#storylink=cpy
And then, there’s this. I just can’t summon anything to say about this.
Usually, its Texans who are notorious for invoking the Alamo amid tough circumstances.
But this weekend, former Gov. Mark Sanford referenced the epic battle in a full-page newspaper advertisement in the Sunday edition of Charlestons The Post and Courier.
So Sanford is invoking the Alamo in his struggle to return to Congress:
In March of 1863, there was similarly little time. A South Carolinian by the name of William Travis drew a line in the sand with his sword and simply asked those who would stay and fight, to cross it. His efforts, and that of those who died with him there at the Alamo, ultimately inspired Texans to come to the aid of their brethren and defeat Santa Annas army though they were outnumbered at the onset by six to one. Im outnumbered right now, but will fight to the end toward freedom and financial sanity in Washington so important to sustaining it.
Theres a problem with this anecdote: the Alamo fell on March 6, 1836.
I dont put much faith in this poll.
Sanford will soon go on the attack and expose her.
The NRCC are idiots.
Help him out and send him some money cuz the establishment won’t.
marksanford.com
Sanford is a 2 term governor and has never lost an election.
He was absolutely the right choice in that race even with his baggage... the others did not have money and weren’t even known!
Keep the faith and help him out that’s what I’m doing... the establishment will not help Mark, he’s on his own.
He’s used to it. He has been fighting against his own party just as much as the Dems during his career and his time as SC governor.
He’s actually - gasp - a conservative!
RE: Sanford will soon go on the attack and expose her.
OK, what skeletons are there in her closet?
It’s not lost yet and I still think he’s going to win it.
The district is still very Republican.
Polling a special election is not easy.
Turnout will be low. Lots of older folks and Sanford voters will show up.
There’s still 3 weeks left.
Sanford will blow his campaign cash in the last 2 weeks and expose her.
Keep faith and help him out that’s what I’m doing!
She’s a liberal so as soon as she opens her mouth he will pin her down.
Pelosi is spending $1 MILLION! in ads for her!
Pretty sure the "establishment", such that it is, was helping Sanford till his latest trespassing charge came to light.
Hes actually - gasp - a conservative!
He's a liar and a tool, and we're probably going to lose the seat because of him and the gullible, foolish primary voters that wanted to give him a second chance.
the others did not have money and werent even known!
So what? It's an R+11 district. Pretty much any of the candidates could have won the seat for us - except lying, cheating Sanford.
Yes, Republicans should vote for Sanford in the general election. But IF he retains the seat for us, and he probably won't, every effort needs to be made to eject him and find a decent candidate next time around. The reality is Stephen Colbert's sister is likely to win because of Mark Sanford's selfishness and the idiocy of SC1 primary voters.
He won because... he’s known, liked and got money.
Contrary to what this poll suggests.
These voters are going to turn up on election day and I still predict he will win.
It might be closer than I first thought though.
The NRCC are overreacting and should be helping him.
They’re a disgrace.
It’s intentional. Part of the campaign to throw the House to the Rats.
Sanford’s probably been paid under the table, and the agencies have all kind of dirt on him to inspire him to keep his end of the deal.
This is what happens when you run a really crappy candidate.
The Republican primary voters of SC, who “resurrected” Newt Gingrich in 2012, must be among the most clueless in the nation. By backing “favorite son” Gingrich, they stopped Santorum’s post-IA momentum, which he could not regain for a month, and it was never enough to be competitive with Romney. Now the primary voters have committed political suicide again by giving away a House seat to the Democrats. The big winner from all of this must be “Loveable Lindsey”, another poor SC Republican primary choice.
Somehow I can see SC Republican primary voters in 2016 leading the way for Jebbie and the return of the Atwater Bushes.
Because a mind is a terrible thing.
Put the blame where it belongs, RNC, why would they give him the OK to run again?????????????????????????
The Republican party in South Carolina must be run by idiots.
I'm tired of the stupid voters....
just go to hell.....
we like our candidates to be pure and virginal I guess...
SC ping...
As expected, bearing in mind PPP is a RAT polling firm.
South Carolina Ping
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