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To: muawiyah
the fact you are unaware of it is suggestive of your being a rustic when it comes to statistical analysis.

Why are you obsessing about this? 9% cooperation rate is obviously plenty enough for scientific polling - especially polling that gets the right combination of land line and mobiles. We know this by how accurate it's proven to be in recent elections - despite what people like yourself claim.

I've given you a clear example in the 2012 elections of how accurate polling has become. The state polls, in particular, painted a highly accurate picture. An aggregate of the state polls produced a perfect 50 state prediction rate from people like Nate Silver. Conservative analysts who disputed the polls such as the Dick Morris, that ridiculous "unskewed polls" guy, etc, have admitted they were wrong and the polls and their methodology/models were right.

You're claim that the use of polling to determine public opinion has collapsed is downright silly.

42 posted on 03/24/2013 6:00:51 PM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: Longbow1969
The very backbone of public opinion survey systems has been the idea that you could actually inquire of enough people in a properly structured environment that you could approach randomness.

Alas, a 9% response rate creates a condition where a group smaller than the entire population can, with little effort beyond calling each other on their cellphones, make sure that THEIR opinion is substituted for the TOTAL POPULATION sampled.

That's no longer a random sample ~ END OF STORY. That's when you must turn to other methods.

It doesn't surprise me at all to find political types ready to give up random selection ~ they never did really like it did they.

43 posted on 03/24/2013 6:07:15 PM PDT by muawiyah
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