Poll: Likud Beyteinu-39, Labor-19

[Eleutheria5]

A Panels Politics Institute poll...predicts the following elections results were they to take place today, before the resignation of Amir Peretz: Likud Beyteinu-39, Labor-19, Jewish Home-12, Shas-10, Yesh Atid-8, The Movement-6, UTJ-5, Meretz-5.

[Eleutheria5]

This is very bad. If Likud needs or can even have Labor to form its coalition, Labor will have absolute power. Bibi will have to jump through hoops. Otherwise, they will simply walk out of the coalition and end it, forcing new elections. Jewish Home and Shas together could give Bibi the magic number of 61 MK, but that doesn't mean he has to go to them. This is the man who partitioned Hebron and kept Ehud Barak as Defense Minister despite his obvious agenda to dismantle the Jewish presence in Juda and Samaria. I think he will court the Right during the campaign, and then turn around and screw them, forming a coalition with Labor and another minor leftist party, or even a rightist party, kept on Labor's leash along with Bibi. Labor must be substantially diminished by January 22 (election day), or we're screwed.

[Eleutheria5]

Oops. Forgot to include the URL:

http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/Flash.aspx/256851#.UMCZPIM3v7Q

Sorry.

[Alter Kaker]

Huh?

1. Poll was taken before Peretz jumped ship.

2. Jewish Home + Likud are only down ten seats. Bibi could find the remaining ten seats from a variety of places -- yes Labor but also various other parties including Shas, UTJ, Am Shalem, Strong Israel, or even bringing Livni in. It will be a strong coalition.

[Ranald S. MacKenzie]

So did Kadima just totally implode?

Also, how big of an influence will Lieberman be in setting policy for Likud-Beyteinu?

[Eleutheria5]

“So did Kadima just totally implode?”

Near as I can tell. It left little bitty left-wing parties everywhere, a bad taste in everyone’s mouth, and not so much as a tear of regret from anyone. Good riddance.

[Eleutheria5]

No way of knowing. He’s a tough cookie, and Bibi is a cream-filled eclair. So I’d guess he’d have Bibi out to eloquently say what Avigdor tells him to. But I’m biased.

[Eleutheria5]

Bibi might WANT Labor:-(E