That makes the odds of running the remaining four states 0.6%.
Thanks for point that out to me.
-PJ
The crux of the matter seems to be that far more Democrats voted than were to be expected --
a. According to Rasmussen's polls, which have been historically accurate (and just about every swing state poll besides).
b. According to guages of voter enthusiasm and expert evaluation -- by the likes of Barone.
c. According to actual observation -- 30,000 for Romney at Red Rocks...while Obama tours with Bruce Springsteen and can't draw flies. Hell, Romney drew several thousand at the Pittsburgh airport -- who were content to stand on a parking garage and watch his plane land.
d. Accurate measurements of the early vote revealed fewer Democrats had been marshalled in support of the campaign. So, all those extra votes had to be found on Voting Day.
So, what the hell happened? The Democrats turned out like it was 2008...and there was absolutely no hint that such would happen. Where did all these "unexpected" Democrat voters come from? And, if I'm not mistaken, the phenomenon was pretty much confined to these five states (plus, perhaps, Wisconsin).
Essentially, an event with a statistical liklihood of 0.2% actually occurred. That's one chance in 500 -- better odds than lightning striking -- but...still.
In any event, I'm suspicious...
And I've got to ask. Did SCYTL count any of these states?