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To: Revolting cat!
I just watched Rasmussen and Sabatino on Fox who say that the surprise is the accuracy with which Obama anticipated the ceiling on the white vote and the accuracy with which Obama could bring out minorities, single women, and the young.

Now Dick Morris is on saying the same thing. Parenthetically, before we sneer one more time at Dick Morris let us acknowledge that Michael Barone had it just as wrong as Morris. All three on Fox agree that the decisive factor was Obama's astonishing ability to keep these groups turned out at 2008 levels. That suggests a whole new wave in American politics, a reshuffling of alignment.

If these three pundits have it right, here is data that tells us where we went wrong demographically, if that is true, more important, if that is the whole truth, we now know to whom to direct the message and the next question is, what message?


96 posted on 11/07/2012 5:33:45 PM PST by nathanbedford ("Attack, repeat, attack!" Bull Halsey)
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To: nathanbedford
Here's my take which I just posted on another thread:
Everybody knows and everybody advances and argues their pet theory. All of them perdictable, boring and cliche ridden. Mr Ruddy should have written and published the above last weekend or earlier, then it would have been brilliant.

I’ve my own theory too, which I am not advancing and won’t argue. Everybody knows the low turnout of registered Republicans, with Romney receiving fewer votes than Juan McCain 4 years ago. What ‘appened? First, I think that Peggy Noone, Michael Barone and Dick Morris were in a way correct in their last weekend’s predictions of Romney victory. Correct in that they all expected normal high Republican turnout. What ‘appened then? Oh, did I axe that already? So sorry.

Here’s my novel theory based if not on anything else then on the observations made on this very forum. The stigma of racism. The Republican voters were intimidated by it into refraining from voting. Cannot boo a lousy black stage performer, cannot not laugh at an unfunny black comic, cannot vote against a black man speaking TV anchor English (at least when he’s not addressing homies or senile old black folks who remember being ‘colored’, ‘Negro’, ‘black’, and now must accept being ‘American-African’.) In 2008 these same voters were NOT voting against Obama, since he was McCain’s equal. Now when he’s an incumbent, voting for Romney, would be, do I have to say it? RACIST! and that is a bigger crime than murder as Mark Fuhrman among others surely knows, Shirley! The stigma of “RACISM”, an invention some have argued of Leon Trotsky.


97 posted on 11/07/2012 5:52:25 PM PST by Revolting cat! (Bad things are wrong! Ice cream is delicious!)
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