Does anyone know Intrade’s success rate on these things?
A. They had Kerry at 71% four hours before the polls closed in 2004
B. They were at 70-75% that the USSC would overturn Obamacare
C. They are basing their numbers off BS polls
D. OR, and I know this sounds conspiratorial, but I wouldn't put it past the Dems to blow a few million dollars to try to skew Intrade in hopes of effecting the election
First time for everything I suppose but this doesn't give me heart .....
Does anyone know Intrades success rate on these things?
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100% ... after the fact..