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To: FightforFreedomCA
These numbers are actually very good for us! These are Early vote percentages based on party affiliation, NOT how they actually voted. Considering that Dems usually win the EV percentages and that it is much more likely that Dems will vote for R than O these numbers are great. Let's take OH for instance. 1.6 million voters are approximately 32% of the electorate. In 2008 McCain won election day in OH by 2 points. If R wins conservatively by 5 points on election day, he would win OH by 1 percent. And those numbers assume that each candidate gets 100% of their party. As I said earlier it is more likely Dems will vote R than Reps for O. Also, this is assuming that Inds vote 50/50. Again it is more likely that Inds voted for Romney. So for instance if you just move the Ind vote to 55/45 R, the election would be a complete blowout!

I'm actually a bit skeptical of the numbers because of caution then anything else. These numbers are so good that I question them so I don't get too excited. Let's hope these numbers are real and that it keeps going the way it's going!

76 posted on 11/06/2012 11:43:10 AM PST by RedPriest73
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To: RedPriest73

Very helpful - thank you for breaking it down so clearly. Appreciate it.


84 posted on 11/06/2012 12:01:29 PM PST by FightforFreedomCA (The most dangerous place to be today is between a Republican voter and a polling booth.)
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