Duh
I predict Ohio turnout will be 6 million. I said that yesterday. 1.8 million total early voters is about 30% of total turnout.
That’s my prediction.
8 million registered voters I believe for a 75% turnout of registered voters - outstanding.
for later
Likely? Wow, strong language. /s
Best news all day! Based on hard data and rigorous, conservative analysis. Let’s hope it holds up.
This author should be a rocket scientist.
Idk about all of this. From everything I’ve read, Nate Silver is typically pretty spot on. So I’ll take his viewpoint over the supposed weighting disparity in early polls. I guess we’ll see tonight who was right!
"Results" is not quite accurate. We know how many absentee ballots were requested & how many were cast. But we do not know how they actually voted.
LOL... wut? Paramount, maybe? Even that word is awkward in that place. And that's not the only place where his writing is clumsy.
I think the author is on to something and the numbers and conclusions are pleasant to my ear. However, he's trying, but failing, to put on that authoritative scholarly tone. Maybe it's just me, but I'm always a little suspicious of the motives of folks who do that.
Is that someone’s blog?
While I’m a “forget polls, go vote” kind of person, I would trust time tested polls like Rassmussen and Gallop over a new kid on the block like Silver. He hasn’t been around that long.
But Nate Silvah, the pencil-neck pointdexter numbers guru for the loony left, says.... no way Bonzo loses Ohio.
This “forecast” is heavy on guesswork and wishful thinking, but it’s no less legit than Silvah’s projections from blatantly biased media polls.
Romney *should* win Ohio (he better, or he’s toast unless PA comes through despite monkey shenanigans in Philly), but I can’t believe that the Rats are focusing ALL of their vote fraud efforts on PA and they’ve somehow forgotten about Ohio.
Mitt’s triumphant internal poll from yesterday, with the massive, overwhelming ONE point lead in Ohio sure isn’t enough to offset ghetto vote fraud. At least the Ohio SOS is a Republican, but we’ll see if he has the cojones to disallow the fraud.
Too early to say anything.