Have at it.
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
Pollsters knowingly over sampled Dems because they feared recriminations from the regime more than they wanted to be accurate.
To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
4 posted on
11/06/2012 5:22:48 AM PST by
secret garden
(Why procrastinate when you can perendinate?)
To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
I think both sides want people to believe its close to get people out to vote.
5 posted on
11/06/2012 5:23:20 AM PST by
cripplecreek
(What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
Why are we so worried about the polls. We never hear about the Italians, or the Irish. Polls this, polls that. Hey, they make great sausage and all but they are highly over rated.
6 posted on
11/06/2012 5:23:23 AM PST by
Raycpa
To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
1. Tea Party
2. Mid Term Elections
3. Scott Walkers inital win
4. Scott Walkers increased majority after millions spent trying to recall
5. Chic-fil-A
6. YOU CANNOT BELIEVE THE MEDIA!!!!!
perhaps #6 should have been #1
7 posted on
11/06/2012 5:24:21 AM PST by
BornToBeAmerican
(Things aren't as good as they should be and its Obama's fault, the resident said)
To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
They are not “cooked,” per se. The info is probably accurate. It’s their assumptions about who is going to show up to vote that is likely wrong. O isn’t going to get the turn out he got in ‘08, and R is likely to get a larger turnout than McCain.
To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
Series: It is the attempt at including cell phones and still getting a representative sample.
9 posted on
11/06/2012 5:24:43 AM PST by
Raycpa
To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
They were skewed by the aberrant 2008 numbers.
Garbage in garbage out.
10 posted on
11/06/2012 5:25:17 AM PST by
mrsmith
(Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat Party!)
To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
The constant, and accelerating, oversampling of dems and certain demographics is a dead give away of the push nature of their polls, IMO.
11 posted on
11/06/2012 5:25:21 AM PST by
MortMan
(Laughter is the best medicine, especially when ridiculing your enemies.)
To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
Look at the internals: One poll I saw this morning showed white voters. College educated males, big for Romney. Non-college males, big for Romney. Non-college females, big for Romney. College females, even. Independents, big for Romney.
Overall, Obama by 3%.
To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
oversampling of dems `which should have ended 10 days ago to preserve credibility and future business. They are still over sampling Democrats, they could give a crap
Today’s CNN poll has Ohio tied
17 posted on
11/06/2012 5:31:13 AM PST by
dennisw
(Government be yo mamma - Re-elect Barack Obama)
To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
I’m thinking Romney wins this. Not a Reagan-type landslide but it will be a decisive victory.
18 posted on
11/06/2012 5:31:13 AM PST by
Impala64ssa
(You call me an islamophobe like it's a bad thing.)
To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
I don’t think the polls are wrong. I think we have exactly what they say we have: an extremely close, almost 50-50 race, very similar to 2000 and 2004.
19 posted on
11/06/2012 5:32:35 AM PST by
jpl
(The government spent another half a million bucks in the time it just took you to read this tagline.)
To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
20 posted on
11/06/2012 5:32:45 AM PST by
Zakeet
(Calling the Obozo/Bernack economy sluggish is an insult to slugs)
To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
Pollsters are like their President.
They Lie
21 posted on
11/06/2012 5:32:57 AM PST by
bestintxas
(Anyone who votes for Obama after these 4 miserable years needs to take a mandatory citizenship test.)
To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
!. They didn’t factor in the Tea Party vote
2. They used a lot smaller samples of the population to get their data
3. They feared being sued by the Obama administration for seeming to be partisan, in favor of the republicans.
23 posted on
11/06/2012 5:34:07 AM PST by
Shery
(in APO Land)
To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
The presidential polls are wrong.
We were told this TOO CLOSE TO CALL crap with the Wisconsin Recall. 49 MINUTES after the polls closed the election was called for Walker, who won 53-46.
To all you worry warts: take a sweet trip down memory lane and watch this youtube video of MSNBC announcing how we would be up all night before knowing who won, and then having to eat crow.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pchwcD4IPzs
To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
Because the samples are not radomly selected from the total population, they are inherently skewed. In sampling, it is required that each and every individual, whether that be a widget or a person, must have the same chance of being selected. Polls use filters to pick their individuals which means they are not doing random sampling. Saying that you need x number of samples out of y number of the total population for a 95% confidence rate without random sampling is incorrect in statistical practice. As long as there is a filter like using the results of the last sampling effort to pick individuals for a new sample the results are skewed. That’s not to say that a broke clock isn’t right twice a day. So some polsters may hit the right numbers. But then there are a lot of polls. Another factor is the use of polls to drive results later. Proplr like to be on the winning team.
25 posted on
11/06/2012 5:35:19 AM PST by
dblshot
(Insanity: electing the same people over and over and expecting different results.)
To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
Evangelicals have yet to vote. 22 mil voter guides were distributed. 9,000 churches, 1.6 mil. calls per David Barton on Glenn Beck yesterday.
26 posted on
11/06/2012 5:35:57 AM PST by
sheikdetailfeather
(Yuri Bezmenov (KGB Defector) - "Kick The Communists Out of Your Govt. & Don't Accept Their Goodies.")
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