The man clearly has an extremely good track record predicting elections, I don’t think he would be reckless with that reputation......
Over the last decade,[B] Hillyer’s prognostications of national elections has landed him some unusual acclaim in political circles[/B]. While a columnist in Mobile, Alabama, a 1998 Washington Post column by Al Kamen labeled him the “Oracle of Mobile” for his accuracy in predicting the number of Congressional seats to be held by both parties after the election. [2]
In 1998 and 2000, his Mobile Register columns correctly predicted the number of seats won nationwide in the United States Congress by each party. In 2002, he missed the total by one seat.[3]
In 2004, he predicted the House numbers within one seat, and missed one state in the electoral battle between George W. Bush and John Kerry.[4]
On September 12, 2008, Hillyer correctly predicted the 52.9 percent popular vote for Barack Obama received in November. [5]
Hillyer noted a misfire he made in the 2006 elections, in which he incorrectly predicted the Republicans would hold the U.S. House of Representatives by one seat.
I give Romney +2 points.
Hillyer is playing it safe because no one knows who’ll have the turnout advantage today.
Either way, he’s right on the money.
Apologies for the redundant listing.