I livwe in south central Va. it is solidly Romney. I am worried about Richmond and Arlington. both are heavily Demoncrat and rife for fraud.
I drove from Peachtree City GA (south of Atlanta) to Annapolis MD last Thursday and came back yesterday. 1350 miles and two swing states - 17 Obama stickers the whole way. 80% were middle aged white women (coexist stickers) and only two were black.
You are right about Arlington; Richmond always votes democrat. But two very important counties are Prince William and Loudoun and based on signs, they belong to Romney.