It all still depends on turnout, but being within striking distance (at worst) in PA and WI, with the momentum going the right way, is great news on election eve.
Its all about turn out. This is tight as a tick. If Romney’s own pollster shows it tight then it’s tight.
Turn out will make the difference.
Newhouse would use something for turnout that he thinks is both accurate and yet, I’m sure, a tad conservative. I still think OH will be +3-4.
On election eve, watch PA. If Romney appears to be doing very well in PA (minus Philly, which will inevitably hold back its results until after midnight), to the point where Philly going 120% for Obama might not matter, then it's good nite for Obama.