What is nuts about the Rasmussen and Gallup polls is that they are not sampling based on there own party identification polls. Gallup has R+3 and Rasmussen R+5.
I thought Gallup didn’t weight their polls? Maybe I read wrong.
What is nuts about the Rasmussen and Gallup polls is that they are not sampling based on there own party identification polls. Gallup has R+3 and Rasmussen R+5.
They are A) Playing it safe. If they are wrong, they don’t want to be wrong by A LOT. They can always claim a “late surge”.
B) Accounting for the Dems notorious ability to “turn out” votes...with all the creativeness that implies.
C) That much of a “plus” for Republicans is pretty unusual to trust completely if you are staking your business on the call.