I think this is great news. I assumed Obama would get his 47% that Romney talked about plus 1% for their efforts. This leaves the remaining 3% divided up as 2 for Romney and 1 for Obama for total of 51% to 49%. 2% is enough for electoral win.
O will NOT get 48% tomorrow night - losing candidates always perform worse relative to their final result.
Now its true PEW shows Obama at 50% but this is a poll that is heavily D+ oversampled - D+6 and an outlier and so it can be tossed out.
Ras and Gallup understate Romney’s winning margin - it probably be 53% 46% 1% which is about right where it should be.