Well IF this is correct Romney will win by double digits. When you aggregate all the national polls (which include 30k+ respondents) the numbers break as follows:
Dems: O 91.2%, R 7.6%, U/O 1.2%
Reps: O4.7%, R 94.5%, U/O 0.8%
Indies: 0 38.1%, R 47.7%, U/O 14.2%
If we allocate 6% of the indies to the third party candidates, Have the undecided breal 70/30 to Romney, and apply the Ras party affiliation model the election would turn out as follows:
Romney 54.7%
Obama 43.6%
Third party 1.7%
This sort of total blowout would of course have some other benefits, The Senate races would break R, and the Lib lackey’s in the MSM would be totally discredited.
Amazed that Ras is using a +3% D model in his samples.
Thanks for the explanation.
Thank you for that great work!!
Yes, the media is hiding this so the dems don’t get wiped out and lose the senate.
I predict that serious games and strategies will be used to make the election look close tomorrow night to protect the senat and state races out west. I predict the heavy dem precincts will be first to release instead of last. By doing so, it will look like the dems are winning pa fl and such. In fact, the media may call the races for Obama very early, back track later.
Be prepared, this will make us angry, heads spinning.