[Red Steel]

I have a question. I think maybe I’m not understanding this properly. Isn’t party ID how people describe their affiliation when asked, and a +whatever in the polls an assumption about the turnout advantage. They’re different aren’t they?

That would be yes and another yes and yes again. :-)

[trappedincanuckistan]

That’s what I thought. I just got the impression that some people up thread were confusing the two. Just because someone identiufies as something doesn’t mean they are going to vote. It’s only important when seen through the lense of how likely people that identify with a particular group will vote. Correct?