I wouldn't be surprised if NM, IL, WA, OR, and HI are now in play.
11+ Dem sample? Are you kidding me? They’re desperate if so.
hey are starting to include registered voters to keep O’s numbers up.
+11 D....nonsense
just saw this on twitter . . +11 is crazy but still need those swing states but IF it is that bad nationally, OH has to turn red along with many more to fall to Red too!
Fox was showing O in Cinci and he was being heckled. haha
This is truly farcical - Communist News Network has a Democratic voting advantage that is simply impossible!
And even here, O cannot crack 50%.
Its over!
Ignore the polls, watch the action and the rhetoric.
Obama and Romney are both playing on mostly BLUE state turf. Romney is running the sort of campaign winning camps run, optimistic, hopeful, bland. Obama is running the sort of campaign losers run, nasty, desperate and shrill.
Obama is running around joined at the hip with Bill Clinton trying desperately to fire up the traditional Democrat blue collar vote. Obama is doing nothing to reach towards the middle. Romney is out there acting Presidential and reaching out to moderate and “leans Democrat” voters.
Obama is not acting like a candidate whose internal polling is showing him winning.
This poll has set twitter afire.
Seriously D+11?
Why don’t we make it D+20 and be done with it so that I can stop even caring about the election?
What happened to journalistic credibility?
How do they explain the +11% Dem, or don’t they?
Otherwise it's totally useless.
The Christie bump is gone. We’ll deal with him later.
Can someone post the exact D/R/I breakdown of this poll?
Even if the actual turnout is the same as 2008 (D+8), Romney will see a narrow victory according to this poll. No way that happens though and D+11 is just out of the park crazy.
Talk about a biased tilted poll
Where does it give the partisan breakdown?
I think it is clear what is going on here.
CNN showed a move towards Romney but didn’t want to report it because it would destroy the current narrative of Obambi’s inevitability. So, they hid it by massively inflating their RAT numbers.
This is the single best bit of polling news we have had in a week.
The "gods of the copy-book headings" WILL take care of these bastards in the future.
...they WILL start reporting news as news and start identifying when they are offering opinions AND when offering up a "poll", that poll is honest and fair.
...they don't seem to have figured out that WE have them figured out and that unless they start acting like a "news" organization, they are toast.
I wouldn't be surprised if NM, IL, WA, OR, and HI are now in play.
I’m struck that a few hours before the election all that’s being discussed is polls and not policy. I’m guilty too, but it’s not good for our republic.
In the backroom: "Let's see, does plus 8 D make it? No? How about plus 10?..."
We look forward to a Romney Ryan Landslide. It will be plus 10 R!
What an insane poll...tied and D+ double digits. Wow if true.
That said, here is a link to an interesting article from 2004 arguing why the polls were wrong and Kerry would win from some Dem.
It uses many of the same arguments we use today, so let’s not ASSUME we are winning and polls are wrong, even if oversampled. It could be that Dem turnout will be higher than we think.
I think in this case, oversampling etc. WILL mean we are going to win. But, don’t get too overconfident. Even good-sounding statistics can be wrong.
http://www.politicalstrategy.org/archives/000580.php
Based on this poll though, I would not be surprised if we do pull off a big upset.
Right now I predict a R win of 2 points, but I hope it’s five or even more.