So short answer, NO you have NO rational explanation you merely WANT to believe the PEW poll to validate your sour grapes.
So don’t accuse everyone else here of doing what YOU are doing.
What are you babbling about? I am not making up my mind how I think the election will go based ONLY on Pew. Rasmussen had Romney in the lead for awhile and that has since slipped to a tie. The state polls are closer these days, but more still seem to favor Obama in the swing states. I don't see evidence that Romney has any surge going in his direction the last few days. I just saw the WaPo tracker moved to Obama +1. It just looks to me like Obama is going to win a close election. I hope that doesn't happen, but that is the way I see it playing out. It's a horrible outcome and one I don't think this nation will be able to recover from.