YouGov just released a huge poll (http://cdn.yougov.com/r/1/ygTabs_november_likelyvoters_National.pdf), showing O 48.5, R 46.5. In 2008 they were quite good as well.
So, the national polls and state polls appear to drift closer now.
I couldn't tell by looking at the page.
I couldn't tell by looking at the page.