I came to this thread soecifically to post exactly what you said. They keep touting the early dem voting, but I’ll bet that at least a third of them are for Romney.
While I think 1/3 of the Dem vote for Romney is too high — there are Dems voting for Romney. Those that listened to what Clint Eastwood really said and that is it is OK to NOT vote for Obama this time — you may have last time but he has failed and a change to Romney is OK.
Glenn Beck said recently that a lot of dims, once they get inside the voting booth, will actually vote for Romney.