Posted on 11/03/2012 12:22:49 AM PDT by GonzoII
The Fix now projects that the 2012 race for the House is likely to be close to a draw, and there is even a fair chance that Republicans will add to their biggest majority in six decades on Tuesday.
Below, The Fix is updating the ratings of 10 House races, with most of them moving in the GOPs direction.
In recent weeks, as Mitt Romney has gained a few points in the presidential race, a similar but slight shift has been happening at the House level: The generic ballot has tightened.
While Democrats had built a modest advantage on the generic ballot (a measure of whether people prefer a generic Republican or a generic Democrat) when President Obama built some momentum in September, that advantage is basically gone now.
The Fix now projects that the 2012 race for the House is likely to be close to a draw, and there is even a fair chance that Republicans will add to their biggest majority in six decades on Tuesday.
Below, The Fix is updating the ratings of 10 House races, with most of them moving in the GOPs direction.
In recent weeks, as Mitt Romney has gained a few points in the presidential race, a similar but slight shift has been happening at the House level: The generic ballot has tightened.
While Democrats had built a modest advantage on the generic ballot (a measure of whether people prefer a generic Republican or a generic Democrat) when President Obama built some momentum in September, that advantage is basically gone now.
In part because of this, Democrats have seen their candidates in conservative-leaning districts suffer. Friday, we are moving several red-district Democrats into more vulnerable ratings, including Reps. Ron Barber (D-Ariz.), Mark Critz (D-Pa.), Jim Matheson (D-Utah), Ben Chandler (D-Ky.) and Kathy Hochul..
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
I would love to see Illinois turn red as part of a Romney landslide..
I just don’t know what will happen... the polls are a lot like pole dancers - they go up and down, up and down...
Remember Nancy Pelosi telling anyone who would listen that there was a very good chance she’d be speaker again after the 2012 elections? I believe she made this prediction about six months ago.
Icing on the cake!
On Greta tonight, the contender for Gabby Giffords old seat was ex-fighter pilot Martha McSally. Too soft for my end of the desert, but maybe accepble for very liberal Tucson. Her opponent Ron Barber never expected to be Pelosi’s pet poodle’s understudy.
Nothing positive has occurred to propel Democrats since the 2010
Republican landslide.
The house Dems have followed Zer0 to the graveyard.
After her 2010 victory predictions the only folks listening to Pelosi these days are drunks at a bar at 2 in the morning.
that would certainly bring a very ill noise from the windy city.
Democrats have been loath to disassociate themselves from their figurehead idol because everyone’s taunting “are you racist?”
Live by the nonsense, die by the nonsense.
I believe that she spoke from the great beyond as a scary halogen image like in Wizard of Oz.
I think we’ll pick up 20-22 seats.
From your lips to God's ears!
Correct. I think we will find that the accusations or insinuations of racism put a lot off Americans off..
Agree. If this would happen not way in hell Obama wins.
Well, I haven’t said anything for fear of further ridicule, but the evidence from Cook Co. Shows Obama down there enough that the downstate vote might overcome it.
A Romney landslide may very well mean the end of the Democratic party as we know it. They have gone so far left and with Zero as it’s figurehead, and soon as an ex-President, let’s see, that will mean Slick Will and Zero will be the face of the Dems. And neither one will be able to shut up commenting during Romney’s term. If the republicans don’t shape up and get on board with a conservative agenda then the tea party or constitution party will become a second party. I hope and pray I will see the death of liberalism. And MSNBC going off the air.
19 new republican seats.
LLS
You got it, Pontiac.
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