Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

House Republicans may actually add to their majority on Election Day
Washington Post ^ | November 2, 2012 | Aaron Blake

Posted on 11/03/2012 12:22:49 AM PDT by GonzoII

The Fix now projects that the 2012 race for the House is likely to be close to a draw, and there is even a fair chance that Republicans will add to their biggest majority in six decades on Tuesday.

Below, The Fix is updating the ratings of 10 House races, with most of them moving in the GOP’s direction.

In recent weeks, as Mitt Romney has gained a few points in the presidential race, a similar but slight shift has been happening at the House level: The generic ballot has tightened.

While Democrats had built a modest advantage on the generic ballot (a measure of whether people prefer a generic Republican or a generic Democrat) when President Obama built some momentum in September, that advantage is basically gone now.

The Fix now projects that the 2012 race for the House is likely to be close to a draw, and there is even a fair chance that Republicans will add to their biggest majority in six decades on Tuesday.

Below, The Fix is updating the ratings of 10 House races, with most of them moving in the GOP’s direction.

In recent weeks, as Mitt Romney has gained a few points in the presidential race, a similar but slight shift has been happening at the House level: The generic ballot has tightened.

While Democrats had built a modest advantage on the generic ballot (a measure of whether people prefer a generic Republican or a generic Democrat) when President Obama built some momentum in September, that advantage is basically gone now.

In part because of this, Democrats have seen their candidates in conservative-leaning districts suffer. Friday, we are moving several red-district Democrats into more vulnerable ratings, including Reps. Ron Barber (D-Ariz.), Mark Critz (D-Pa.), Jim Matheson (D-Utah), Ben Chandler (D-Ky.) and Kathy Hochul..

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: congress; election2012; gop
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-27 next last
Should happen with a landslide for Mitt.
1 posted on 11/03/2012 12:22:55 AM PDT by GonzoII
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: GonzoII

I would love to see Illinois turn red as part of a Romney landslide..


2 posted on 11/03/2012 12:29:36 AM PDT by cardinal4 (Vote him out!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GonzoII

I just don’t know what will happen... the polls are a lot like pole dancers - they go up and down, up and down...


3 posted on 11/03/2012 12:35:34 AM PDT by floridavoter2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GonzoII

Remember Nancy Pelosi telling anyone who would listen that there was a very good chance she’d be speaker again after the 2012 elections? I believe she made this prediction about six months ago.


4 posted on 11/03/2012 12:51:25 AM PDT by Steely Tom (If the Constitution can be a living document, I guess a corporation can be a person.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GonzoII

Icing on the cake!


5 posted on 11/03/2012 12:51:25 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GonzoII

On Greta tonight, the contender for Gabby Giffords old seat was ex-fighter pilot Martha McSally. Too soft for my end of the desert, but maybe accepble for very liberal Tucson. Her opponent Ron Barber never expected to be Pelosi’s pet poodle’s understudy.


6 posted on 11/03/2012 1:01:22 AM PDT by lulu16 (May the Good Lord take a liking to you!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GonzoII

Nothing positive has occurred to propel Democrats since the 2010
Republican landslide.

The house Dems have followed Zer0 to the graveyard.


7 posted on 11/03/2012 1:04:53 AM PDT by ChiMark (chewed up his body for a decade)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Steely Tom

After her 2010 victory predictions the only folks listening to Pelosi these days are drunks at a bar at 2 in the morning.


8 posted on 11/03/2012 1:11:50 AM PDT by cgbg (No bailouts for New York and California. Let them eat debt.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: cardinal4

that would certainly bring a very ill noise from the windy city.


9 posted on 11/03/2012 1:21:33 AM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (cat dog, cat dog, alone in the world is a little cat dog)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: ChiMark

Democrats have been loath to disassociate themselves from their figurehead idol because everyone’s taunting “are you racist?”

Live by the nonsense, die by the nonsense.


10 posted on 11/03/2012 1:23:05 AM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (cat dog, cat dog, alone in the world is a little cat dog)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Steely Tom

I believe that she spoke from the great beyond as a scary halogen image like in Wizard of Oz.


11 posted on 11/03/2012 1:28:14 AM PDT by lulu16 (May the Good Lord take a liking to you!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: GonzoII

I think we’ll pick up 20-22 seats.


12 posted on 11/03/2012 1:48:44 AM PDT by Jacknudy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Jacknudy
"I think we’ll pick up 20-22 seats."

From your lips to God's ears!

13 posted on 11/03/2012 1:51:40 AM PDT by GonzoII (Quia tu es, Deus, fortitudo mea...Quare tristis es anima mea?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: HiTech RedNeck

Correct. I think we will find that the accusations or insinuations of racism put a lot off Americans off..


14 posted on 11/03/2012 1:58:38 AM PDT by cardinal4 (Vote him out!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: GonzoII

Agree. If this would happen not way in hell Obama wins.


15 posted on 11/03/2012 2:05:42 AM PDT by scbison
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: cardinal4

Well, I haven’t said anything for fear of further ridicule, but the evidence from Cook Co. Shows Obama down there enough that the downstate vote might overcome it.


16 posted on 11/03/2012 3:24:11 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: GonzoII

A Romney landslide may very well mean the end of the Democratic party as we know it. They have gone so far left and with Zero as it’s figurehead, and soon as an ex-President, let’s see, that will mean Slick Will and Zero will be the face of the Dems. And neither one will be able to shut up commenting during Romney’s term. If the republicans don’t shape up and get on board with a conservative agenda then the tea party or constitution party will become a second party. I hope and pray I will see the death of liberalism. And MSNBC going off the air.


17 posted on 11/03/2012 5:32:09 AM PDT by MomwithHope (Buy and read Ameritopia by Mark Levin!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GonzoII

19 new republican seats.

LLS


18 posted on 11/03/2012 5:33:45 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GonzoII
All the voters are breaking toward the Republicans in the House races, yet we are suppose to believe a good number of them are going to split their ballot and vote for Obama?!? Not a chance, if the Republican maintain their house seats and even add it will me the electorate still looks like 2010, no way Obama wins in that sort of election.
19 posted on 11/03/2012 6:02:39 AM PDT by apillar
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: apillar

You got it, Pontiac.


20 posted on 11/03/2012 6:10:15 AM PDT by Former Proud Canadian (Obamanomics-We don't need your stinking tar sands oil, we'll just grow algae.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-27 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson