Yeah, I know, it’s why I always use the caveat word “if” when commenting on polls. The polls have been all over the map and are right now coalescing around a tie everywhere. Except for Gallup before it stopped polling. Gallup has an exemplary track record in presidential elections for the past 80 years or so so I put a lot of cred in their last weeks numbers. Of course they did miss President Dewey.
As has been documented, Gallup determined a flaw in the polling methods after that election. They've been pretty accurate since.