Posted on 10/31/2012 11:24:03 AM PDT by GonzoII
I agree. South Central PA is fired up to vote against Obama. The hood vote from Harrisburg and York cities is easily offset by suburban and rural vote in the area. Delaware, Bucks and Montgomery counties have to step up the the plate to offset the Philly and Chester hood vote. The more I see and hear, the more I believe that will be the case.
F&M polls based on voter registration. I have no idea why they do that, but it doesn’t reflect how people will turnout.
Cross your fingers!
Just feels different this time.. If you are a kid, what do you have to be passionate about ? No jobs, no future, no hope.
It’s probably as worthless as Benson’s claim that “Bucks County ALWAYS votes for the Presidential winner”.
Pretty idiotic definition of “ALWAYS”, seeing as how Bucks voted for both Kerry and Gore.
I don’t know. Do you think that D+13 even comes close to account for the democrat cheating? You see the polling people know exactly what they are doing.
Revenge of the bitter clingers!
The Black vote is going to be so down, those NBP thugs are going to have to use their night sticks on their own people just to get them to the polls.
PA Ping!
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Thanks!
Ah...thanks for the info.
Big talk from someone too paranoid to fly a state flag on their profile.
(here's a clue for free: Leviathan already knows where you are)
< plonk >
Chester county is no hood. We will go RR at a 10-1 margin. ;).
Great Internals !!!
We are winning Indies by 16 points and the poll only consists of 11% Indies, all the rest were shifted to the dem column as compared to last years exit polls.
The respondents reported voting 55 to 41 O to McCain last time and still the result is 48 to 44 a 7 point drop for O and 3 point gain for R. Since the 55 to 41 # is about twice the difference from the exit polls in 2008 this tells a lot about the oversampling.
If one of our horrible judges didn’t shoot down voter ID I would say PA is in the bag. It actually went to the supreme court which was 1/2 Republican and instead of just upholding the law they sent it back to the judge with instructions that if this law could keep one voter from voting it should be shot down. Apparently having thousands of ballots stolen by fraud is preferable to having one person that is too lazy to get an ID not vote. Even worse, the law gave the right to use a provisional ballot with no ID and present proof later which should have guaranteed anyone could vote. Still the judge postponed the law until the next election. I hope that decision doesn’t ultimately determine this election or give the dems the Senate. Without the voter ID who knows what the limit is on fraud from Philly or if there even is a limit. At least this time we don’t have Rendell here trying to suppress the military vote by holding onto their ballots too long.
Great Internals !!!
We are winning Indies by 16 points and the poll only consists of 11% Indies, all the rest were shifted to the dem column as compared to last years exit polls.
The respondents reported voting 55 to 41 O to McCain last time and still the result is 48 to 44 a 7 point drop for O and 3 point gain for R. Since the 55 to 41 # is about twice the difference from the exit polls in 2008 this tells a lot about the oversampling.
If one of our horrible judges didn’t shoot down voter ID I would say PA is in the bag. It actually went to the supreme court which was 1/2 Republican and instead of just upholding the law they sent it back to the judge with instructions that if this law could keep one voter from voting it should be shot down. Apparently having thousands of ballots stolen by fraud is preferable to having one person that is too lazy to get an ID not vote. Even worse, the law gave the right to use a provisional ballot with no ID and present proof later which should have guaranteed anyone could vote. Still the judge postponed the law until the next election. I hope that decision doesn’t ultimately determine this election or give the dems the Senate. Without the voter ID who knows what the limit is on fraud from Philly or if there even is a limit. At least this time we don’t have Rendell here trying to suppress the military vote by holding onto their ballots too long.
I was referring to Chester city, home of the Chester-Upland School District, where they graduate generation after generation of functionally illiterate hood rats. (A bankrupt school district, definitely the worst in the commonwealth and perhaps one of the worst in the country.)
You are completely correct. Chester County is no hood. Chester city is a hood. BTW, You can take the Conchester highway (rt 322) from Chester (city) to get to Chester (county). Along the way, you will pass Chichester, which is made up of Upper Chichester and Lower Chichester. Yes, there is a distinction between the two, and the upper and lower parts both apply.
I fully understand Chester County will vote for RR as they did for Juan McCain. On the other hand, Delaware, Montgomery and Bucks counties did not. I am most concerned about Montgomery county out of the three.
I'd have thought Delaware county (with Chester) to be the most worrisome. RR may not carry Montco, but it'll be very close. Until the last couple of weeks, I was certain RR was going to carry my county because there was virtually NO visible support for 0 here in Montco. I am in between Philadelphia and Norristown. Philly has a very unenthused African American population so the turnout won't be anything like 2008. Drive through Norristown and you wouldn't even know there was an election coming so I'd say their turnout is going to be way down.
Do you know where I can find the numbers for the specific areas for the 2008 election? I'm specifically interested in Conshohocken, Jenkintown, and Lower Merion
I would think Chester city is less enthusiastic than Philadelphia. I grew up in Delaware county, but I have not lived there for 30 years, so I may be incorrect. It used to be Republicans could count on folks living west of the railroad tracks. ( Memory is failing me, the R3 line ... The train that runs from Wilmington to Suburban station.)
My wife and I did our patriotic duty today and cast our votes for the GOP.
Along the street to the early voting location we saw three Obama signs and over 30 GOP signs.
FWIW, we are in Central Florida.
We’ll be in Vero for Thanksgiving! Can’t wait.
Good job casting your early ballot!!
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