2 points + fraud is a comfortable lead. Remember that MOE for poll averages is much smaller than that for individual polls, so yes, I think this is a comfortable lead. It would mean several tens of thousands of votes...
The average is also weighed down with garbage polls with + 9 Democrat advantages. On the other end are polls which are tied or give Romney a small lead. With such a disparity, I don’t think you can average them. Either this will be a Democrat heavily electorate like the one set of polls projects, or it won’t , like the other polls suggest. Someone is going to be very wrong. We will know who in one week.
See below.
https://mobile.twitter.com/JayCostTWS/status/263517850168348672/photo/1
Many of the polls included in the average are ones that outrageously oversampled Dems troll