Replies

I am not at all like Steelfish! However I am concerned (as others here will be) that Brit Hume announced it on FNS today that it would show Romney +5, and it missed by 6 points (as it now shows Obama +1). I sure as hell hope I am worrying about nothing, but these guys have a solid track record over the last 5 Presidential elections:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/11-4-ballot%2Bballot-prediction-rcp.pdf

I did not watch the show. Are you sure he said that *this* poll would show a 5 point lead?

I did find this interview with Ed Goeas, one of the Battleground pollsters, who mentioned Romney winning by 5 points, but he did not specifically tie it to one of his polls.

http://www.swoknews.com/news-top/local/item/2286-pollster-from-here-sees-romney-surge

However I am concerned (as others here will be) that Brit Hume announced it on FNS today that it would show Romney +5, and it missed by 6 points (as it now shows Obama +1). I sure as hell hope I am worrying about nothing, but these guys have a solid track record over the last 5 Presidential elections:

As was pointed out previously, there's a difference between their "poll" and their "prediction" (the one you take as gospel). Their ridiculous "poll" does show Obama up by 1, but only when they include those who are only at least "somewhat likely" to vote and who are only at least "likely" to vote for Obama.

Their PREDICTION out today (no doubt the one Hume was referring to) is...(drumroll please)...ROMNEY 52 OBAMA 47...

http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/new-poll-projects-romney-52-obama-47_658066.html

Even they know a poll (even their own) showing Obama +1 is a joke.