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Politico/GWU/Battleground Poll - O49/R48 w/leaners (BRIT HUME WAS WRONG!)
http://images.politico.com/global/2012/10/politico_gwbgp_oct29_questionnaire.html ^ | Oct 29, 1012

Posted on 10/28/2012 11:21:51 PM PDT by profit_guy

On Fox News Sunday, Brit Hume said the poll would show Romney +5. He was very wrong.

(Excerpt) Read more at images.politico.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; panic; skyisfalling
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To: entropy12

No, it is 47%


41 posted on 10/29/2012 12:50:21 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: profit_guy
You have made 3 posts claiming that you are terrified by this poll and clearly want to be despite evidence to the contrary.

Alright, Obama is going to win, make you happy now?

42 posted on 10/29/2012 12:52:03 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: profit_guy

Wait ‘til Brit wakes up and sees this. I think he WILL comment. He doesn’t come across as someone who enjoys being made a fool of.


43 posted on 10/29/2012 12:52:41 AM PDT by jwb0581 (Borders, Language, Culture)
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To: profit_guy

Karl Rove-LOL!


44 posted on 10/29/2012 12:52:59 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: profit_guy
You mean this Karl Rove?

The lead that Gov. Mitt Romney has carried in national polls since the first presidential debate should be reflected oon in state-by-state polls — indicating a potential Romney victory on election day, Karl Rove said on “Fox News Sunday.” Rove added that as the state polls reflect the national mood, Romney may begin to see states such as Minnesota, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, come into play for his electoral vote count.

45 posted on 10/29/2012 12:55:05 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: Michaelman1234; barmag25

“This poll is a forgery.”

it does not appear to be a forgery to me....go here, then click on “Complete poll results”:

http://www.politico.com/polls/politico-george-washington-university-battleground-poll.html

...then compare that URL (Oct 22), with this URL (Oct 29):

http://images.politico.com/global/2012/10/politico_gwbgp_oct29_questionnaire.html

...they appear the same...the only differnce being the date, and the missing pg 12 with the disclaimers


46 posted on 10/29/2012 12:59:56 AM PDT by profit_guy
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To: fortheDeclaration; profit_guy; Arthurio

>> It is amazing how many people can’t wait to post a negative poll despite the fact that the two major polls have Romney with a 5+national lead.

Especially this guy.

Check out his posting record. You **never** find him posting threads, or even comments, on the Romney +5 polls.

He only shows up on the “obama is ahead” poll threads, where he can troll his anxiety bait past the school.

What really opened my eyes to his angle is his posting of that Battleground chart, implying their predictions in the past several elections are within tenths of a point of the real numbers.

Thanks Arthurio for pointing out that that last column in those charts is NOT actual poll numbers.

That’s EXTREMELY disingenuous, profit_guy. Despicable!


47 posted on 10/29/2012 1:00:44 AM PDT by Nervous Tick ("You can ignore reality, but you can't ignore the consequences of ignoring reality.")
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To: All
The Tarrance Group website just shows the survey taken from October 15-18:

Tarrance

48 posted on 10/29/2012 1:02:14 AM PDT by BushMeister ("We are a nation that has a government - not the other way around." --Ronald Reagan)
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To: profit_guy

If the poll generally doesn’t get released till 5am how did you get it so early?


49 posted on 10/29/2012 1:07:44 AM PDT by barmag25
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To: fortheDeclaration

“Alright, Obama is going to win, make you happy now?”

don’t be an idiot, as i said above i absolutely despise Obama, i hate the traitorous son-of-a-bitch, and i am certainly no Steelfish!...but when i see a ‘bad poll’ by a pollster who i trust and is highly respected, yeah it concerns me...i would like nothing more than for it to be wrong

...let’s hope that Rasmussen and Gallup stay on track for us, because if they don’t then even you may be concerned


50 posted on 10/29/2012 1:07:59 AM PDT by profit_guy
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To: Nervous Tick

“Especially this guy.....Check out his posting record. You **never** find him posting threads......That’s EXTREMELY disingenuous, profit_guy. Despicable!”

What they hell is the matter with you?! I have posted my conservative viewpoints here for years!, as per my stats: “You’ve posted a total of 77 threads and 513 replies.”

SO, let me get this straight, because I posted a poll that concerns me, that I must be a troll?!?!....you’re “Despicable!”

...and well i truly hope this poll is wrong (or a forgery as two people on here have suggested), if it turns out to be correct, you owe me an apology


51 posted on 10/29/2012 1:21:28 AM PDT by profit_guy
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To: profit_guy

I just checked over at the DU, and they’ve been watching this thread and are laughing about your “concerns”. Just FYI.


52 posted on 10/29/2012 1:23:01 AM PDT by Arthurio
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To: profit_guy

I assume you got your 49/48 numbers from page 5 of the link you provided. I’m not sure how the Battlefield folks determine their final reported poll results, but what they report almost never matches the raw data from their poll results. It is often close, but never the same. I’m sure they adjust for whatever weighting they determine is accurate based on other factors in their raw data. Wait and see what their actual commentary for the poll is before losing too much sleep.


53 posted on 10/29/2012 1:25:23 AM PDT by Rokke (www.therightreasons.net)
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To: profit_guy

Ah, taking hysterical flak. I’m over the target.


54 posted on 10/29/2012 1:31:27 AM PDT by Nervous Tick ("You can ignore reality, but you can't ignore the consequences of ignoring reality.")
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To: Nervous Tick

LOL! FR is quite precious....


55 posted on 10/29/2012 1:34:55 AM PDT by eyedigress ((zOld storm chaser from the west)/?)
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To: profit_guy

>> you owe me an apology

Hey, no problem! I won’t even wait until we find out you’re wrong; I’ll give it to you right now.

I am truly sorry that profit_guy is a despicable concern troll who posts dodgy polls, and presents misleading data in an attempt to lie about the reliability of the polling company that produces said dodgy results.

I am furthermore genuinely sorry that profit_guy delights in maximizing negativity and anxiety on Free Republic, because the (mostly) fine conservative men and women here deserve better.

There... is that accceptable?


56 posted on 10/29/2012 1:36:20 AM PDT by Nervous Tick ("You can ignore reality, but you can't ignore the consequences of ignoring reality.")
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To: Nervous Tick; fortheDeclaration; Arthurio

“Check out his posting record. You **never** find him posting threads, or even comments, on the Romney +5 polls...He only shows up on the “obama is ahead” poll threads, where he can troll his anxiety bait past the school...That’s EXTREMELY disingenuous, profit_guy. Despicable!”

Here are but a FEW examples you would have come across had you did some research before you made assinine accusations:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2951533/posts?page=25#25 (see post #25)

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2941635/posts

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2942270/posts

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2946833/posts

...additionally because I am a Rasmussen subscriber, I often post his internals in here for all to see...so next time do a little bit of research


57 posted on 10/29/2012 1:40:56 AM PDT by profit_guy
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To: Nervous Tick

Nervous Tick; fortheDeclaration; Arthurio

Here’s a few more:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2947393/posts

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2941087/posts (posts 42, 48)

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2941461/posts
(posts 13, 14, 15)

Yeah, I sound like a real troll.


58 posted on 10/29/2012 1:53:33 AM PDT by profit_guy
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To: profit_guy

I dunno... the exceptions prove the rule?

If you’re not a troll why don’t you...

a) Stop being a bedwetter and think/act/speak positively about RR’s chances for a change?
b) Stop posting that misleading graphic that you use to infer Battleground’s precision when it does no such thing? That REALLY infuriates me, and although you were called on it earlier, you have yet to explain why you posted that lie.

Just sayin’.


59 posted on 10/29/2012 2:05:48 AM PDT by Nervous Tick ("You can ignore reality, but you can't ignore the consequences of ignoring reality.")
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To: All
Politico has updated:

Politico Batleground

60 posted on 10/29/2012 2:09:37 AM PDT by BushMeister ("We are a nation that has a government - not the other way around." --Ronald Reagan)
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