It’s easier for Obama because he has 57 states from which to win them.
The AP “analysis” overlooks the fact that Obama’s hard ceiling is 47% and he is unlikely to win a single swing state with that kind of number - which matches his approval rating to a T.
For AP to be right, O has to crack 50% and then run the table. I don’t see that happening. Its MSM wishful thinking at this point and they want to protect their investment in the One.
And they need people to think he could defy the polls and do what Harry Truman did to Tom Dewey in 1948. Though if there is movement towards O - we’ll only see it happen in the last 48 hours of this election.
But its more likely late undecideds break for the challenger than for the incumbent.