Please don't comment on things you don't understand.
The "models" with a miss are very old, very primitive (as old as the 1970s) and/or are variations that do not apply to a system such as Sandy for various complicated reasons. They aren't even looked at by NHC. I actually think they really should stop running them.
The difference between those models and the ones with NJ hits are like the difference between a Commodore 64 and a supercomputer.
Every single legitimate modern model has a hit in New Jersey.
I’m in south Jersey. The entire lower part of the state is one giant sandbar not too far above sea level. It’ll be very interesting to see how we fair with this thing. We stocked up on batteries and canned and dry food. We filled a fifteen gallon tank with fresh water in case the runoff messes with our city water. No generator. We can read a book for a few days if necessary. We cleared everything out of the yard, but not much more. We’re ready to hunker down for the duration!
The model I’m looking at says Monday morning Sandy takes an almost 90 degree turn west and crashes into the mainland.
I’m not questioning the model but that seems so crazy on the face of it.